In late 2024, the Social Security Administration announced that the COLA for 2025 would be 2.5%, affecting more than 72.5 million Americans receiving Social Security and Supplemental Security Income (SSI) benefits. This adjustment, calculated based on changes in the Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (CPI-W) between the third quarter of 2023 and the third quarter of 2024, reflects a moderation in inflation compared with earlier years. Though smaller than the unusually large COLAs of recent years (for example, 8.7% in 2023 and 3.2% in 2024), the 2025 increase still signals a steady effort to help benefits keep pace with rising living costs.
For many beneficiaries, the 2.5% increase translates into modest — but meaningful — additional income. On average, retired workers will see their monthly benefits rise by about $50. Given that the average benefit amounts before increase hover around the lower thousands for many retirees, this extra money helps offset expenses that are rising due to inflation: groceries, utilities, medications, and other essential costs. For those reliant on Social Security as a primary income source — especially older adults with fixed budgets — even a modest increase can represent important breathing room.
The COLA boost isn’t limited to retirees. Individuals receiving disability benefits, survivor’s benefits, and SSI will also see increases. While specific dollar-amount changes vary widely depending on benefit type, household composition, and prior payments, the automatic adjustment means recipients won’t need to apply or re-qualify — their benefit levels will simply rise in line with the new COLA. This seamless transition is designed to avoid administrative burden and ensure timely support. Policymakers and advocates frequently describe COLA as a “baseline protection” against inflation’s erosion of fixed incomes.
Still, many analysts and advocacy groups caution that COLAs — especially modest ones like 2.5% — may only partly offset the real-world increase in living costs. For many beneficiaries, expenses associated with housing, healthcare, long-term care, and prescription drugs continue to rise, in some cases faster than inflation. As a result, even with a COLA, many households may still experience net losses in purchasing power. Over time, repeated small increases may feel insufficient for those on tight budgets, struggling with growing costs or unpredictable expenses.
Looking ahead to 2026, the SSA expects another boost — a 2.8% COLA — signaling a continued attempt to adjust benefits in line with economic conditions. Under that projection, the typical retired worker’s benefit would increase by around $56 per month starting in January 2026. The annual COLA has averaged around 3.1% over the last decade, though it has varied widely depending on inflation trends.
In sum: while the 2025 COLA is smaller than during periods of high inflation, it remains a meaningful mechanism to help vulnerable populations — retirees, people with disabilities, survivors, SSI recipients — maintain some level of purchasing power in the face of economic uncertainty. The automatic nature of the adjustment ensures broad coverage and avoids delays or extra paperwork. That said, for many, especially those with higher-than-average expenses, the COLA is likely only a modest buffer rather than a full safeguard. The projected increase for 2026 suggests continued commitment to indexing benefits, but long-term financial pressures — especially around housing, healthcare, and cost of living — remain a serious concern for fixed-income households.