President Donald Trump is facing new political headwinds during the early months of his second term. National polls indicate a drop in his approval rating to 45%, down from 49% in January. This shift highlights growing voter frustration amid rising inflation, international tensions, and skepticism about his leadership. The 2026 midterm elections loom, amplifying concerns within both parties as Trump’s disapproval now outpaces his approval.

A deeper political divide is emerging, with a recent Emerson College poll showing 53% of Americans believe the nation is headed in the wrong direction. Independent voters are increasingly leaning Democratic, with 37% favoring Democratic congressional candidates compared to 27% for Republicans. This shift among independents suggests volatility that could impact both parties, though Trump may be particularly vulnerable.

Texas, once a Republican stronghold, is showing signs of erosion in support for Trump. A University of Texas poll revealed only 44% of Texans approve of his performance, while 51% disapprove. Economic dissatisfaction, particularly regarding inflation and cost of living, appears to be driving this shift. Even among Republican Texans, support for Trump has dipped slightly.

International developments could influence public opinion. Trump recently launched airstrikes on Iranian nuclear facilities, leading to retaliatory attacks. He later brokered a temporary ceasefire between Iran and Israel. While some praised his diplomatic boldness, critics saw his tone as overly casual in the face of serious conflict, stirring further debate about his global leadership.

Despite falling approval ratings, Trump retains strong support among GOP voters. However, winning back moderates and independents remains a major challenge ahead of the 2026 elections.